-28%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Estrella Mountain Community College fell 27% between 2021 and 2024 (6.2k → 4.5k).
Arizona · Public · Predominantly certificates
Estrella Mountain Community College
Avondale, Arizona. 6,424 undergraduate students. 110 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
Earnings, completion, debt, and enrollment anomalies at Estrella Mountain Community College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Estrella Mountain Community College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.3% → 0.0%).
+14%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Estrella Mountain Community College rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 ($7.9k → $9.0k).
+14%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Estrella Mountain Community College rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 ($2.1k → $2.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
Estrella Mountain Community College earnings, debt, and completion vs. the Arizona median
Each tile compares this institution to the Arizona median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$44,356+13% · 6→10y
Arizona median $39,817$39,357
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry24.6%+1% · '97→'09
Arizona median 43.0%$4,670+242% · '97→'20
At program completion6,424+69% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS68.5%+4% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$2,358+140% · '00→'24
out-of-state $8,958SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How Estrella Mountain Community College earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings at Estrella Mountain Community College
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.4%Median federal debt $4,670 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $44,356 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Estrella Mountain Community College enrollment, completion, and debt over time
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+69%
Estrella Mountain Community College · undergrad enrollment rose
2,667 → 4,512
+137%
Estrella Mountain Community College · in-state tuition rose
$984 → $2,358
+110%
Estrella Mountain Community College · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,272 → $8,958
+242%
Estrella Mountain Community College · median debt rose
$2,193 → $7,500
-100%
Estrella Mountain Community College · cohort default rate fell
19.1% → 0.0%
+38%
Estrella Mountain Community College · pell share rose
17.1% → 23.6%
+35%
Estrella Mountain Community College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$32,800 → $44,356
+29%
Estrella Mountain Community College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$32,900 → $42,288
+30%
Estrella Mountain Community College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$30,300 → $39,357
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Estrella Mountain Community College programs ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing$80,098Physical Sciences$62,897Natural Sciences$58,832Business/Commerce, General$52,938Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications$52,900Business Administration, Management and Operations$50,775Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions$47,257Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications$46,659Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods$46,265Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities$44,994Fine and Studio Arts$44,864Business Administration, Management and Operations$43,568Human Resources Management and Services$41,812Criminal Justice and Corrections$41,097Linguistic, Comparative, and Related Language Studies and Services$40,991Criminal Justice and Corrections$40,055Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services$37,776Health and Medical Administrative Services$37,655Culinary Arts and Related Services$33,303
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
19 Estrella Mountain Community College programs with earnings, grouped by field
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Institutions similar to Estrella Mountain Community College in Arizona
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Estrella Mountain Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Estrella Mountain Community College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Estrella Mountain Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.