-43%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Prescott College fell 43% between 2021 and 2024 (383 → 219).
Arizona · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Prescott College
Prescott, Arizona. 253 undergraduate students. 48 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Prescott College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Prescott College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.2% → 0.0%).
-36%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 36% at Prescott College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (253 vs 394).
-7pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 7 pp at Prescott College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (35.9% vs 43.1%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arizona
Each tile compares this institution to the Arizona median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$42,359+26% · 6→10y
Arizona median $39,817$33,539
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry35.9%+34% · '97→'24
Arizona median 43.0%$12,500+55% · '97→'20
At program completion253-71% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS75.0%+30% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time98.6%+13% · '01→'24
latest cohort$35,685+163% · '00→'24
out-of-state $35,685SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.9%Median federal debt $12,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $42,359 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+34%
Prescott College · completion · 150% rose
41.4% → 55.6%
+30%
Prescott College · retention rose
57.0% → 73.9%
-71%
Prescott College · undergrad enrollment fell
767 → 219
+163%
Prescott College · in-state tuition rose
$13,549 → $35,685
+163%
Prescott College · out-of-state tuition rose
$13,549 → $35,685
+55%
Prescott College · median debt rose
$10,500 → $16,300
-100%
Prescott College · cohort default rate fell
9.3% → 0.0%
+57%
Prescott College · pell share rose
26.5% → 41.6%
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arizona
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Prescott College graduates earn $X” — not “Prescott College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Prescott College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.