-25%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Ecclesia College fell 25% between 2021 and 2024 (144 → 108).
Arkansas · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Ecclesia College
Springdale, Arkansas. 132 undergraduate students. 15 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Ecclesia College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+150%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Ecclesia College rose 150% between 2021 and 2024 (16.0% → 40.0%).
-11%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Ecclesia College fell 11% between 2021 and 2024 (54.3% → 48.4%).
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Ecclesia College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.3% → 0.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arkansas
Each tile compares this institution to the Arkansas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$40,650+26% · 6→10y
Arkansas median $34,871$32,147
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry36.5%-56% · '05→'24
Arkansas median 47.1%$9,000+272% · '07→'20
At program completion132+145% · '05→'24
latest IPEDS40.9%-32% · '06→'24
first-time, full-time47.5%+129% · '06→'24
latest cohort$16,850+78% · '05→'24
out-of-state $16,850SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.9%Median federal debt $9,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $40,650 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-56%
Ecclesia College · completion · 150% fell
91.2% → 40.0%
-32%
Ecclesia College · retention fell
71.0% → 48.4%
+32%
Ecclesia College · undergrad enrollment rose
44 → 108
+78%
Ecclesia College · in-state tuition rose
$9,440 → $16,850
+78%
Ecclesia College · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,440 → $16,850
+272%
Ecclesia College · median debt rose
$3,500 → $13,019
-100%
Ecclesia College · cohort default rate fell
24.0% → 0.0%
+235%
Ecclesia College · pell share rose
14.5% → 48.5%
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arkansas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Ecclesia College graduates earn $X” — not “Ecclesia College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Ecclesia College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.