-24%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 24% at University of Northern Colorado vs the 2018–2022 baseline (5.7k vs 7.5k).
Colorado · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
University of Northern Colorado
Greeley, Colorado. 5,693 undergraduate students. 104 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of Northern Colorado
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+16%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at University of Northern Colorado rose 16% between 2021 and 2024 ($10.7k → $12.4k).
-16%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at University of Northern Colorado fell 16% between 2021 and 2024 (6.7k → 5.6k).
+15%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at University of Northern Colorado rose 15% between 2021 and 2024 ($23.8k → $27.3k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Colorado
Each tile compares this institution to the Colorado median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$52,231+19% · 6→10y
Colorado median $43,242$43,756
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry51.3%+24% · '97→'24
Colorado median 55.5%$13,805+234% · '97→'20
At program completion5,693-35% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS74.4%+5% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time86.4%+10% · '01→'24
latest cohort$12,010+346% · '00→'24
out-of-state $26,204SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.5%Median federal debt $13,805 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $52,231 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+24%
University of Northern Colorado · completion · 150% rose
41.2% → 51.2%
+141%
University of Northern Colorado · completion · 100% rose
15.7% → 38.0%
-35%
University of Northern Colorado · undergrad enrollment fell
8,594 → 5,598
+346%
University of Northern Colorado · in-state tuition rose
$2,783 → $12,416
+171%
University of Northern Colorado · out-of-state tuition rose
$10,068 → $27,266
+234%
University of Northern Colorado · median debt rose
$6,125 → $20,470
-100%
University of Northern Colorado · cohort default rate fell
7.6% → 0.0%
+54%
University of Northern Colorado · pell share rose
17.0% → 26.2%
+24%
University of Northern Colorado · earnings_median_10yr rose
$42,000 → $52,231
+23%
University of Northern Colorado · earnings_median_8yr rose
$39,100 → $48,079
+23%
University of Northern Colorado · earnings_median_6yr rose
$35,700 → $43,756
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$111,158Accounting and Related Services.$86,693Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$76,606Educational Administration and Supervision.$74,013Business Administration, Management and Operations.$70,582Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$70,247Educational Administration and Supervision.$69,673Biology, General.$66,844Chemistry.$62,043Special Education and Teaching.$60,811Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$60,755Mathematics.$60,194Political Science and Government.$58,329Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$57,581Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$57,478Parks, Recreation and Leisure Facilities Management.$56,189Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$54,666Criminal Justice and Corrections.$54,233Sustainability Studies.$54,162Journalism.$53,764Communication and Media Studies.$53,322History.$52,808Education, General.$51,932Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$50,469
Showing top 24 of 42 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
42 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$43,737Special Education and Teaching.$60,811Educational Administration and Supervision.$69,673Education, General.$51,932Special Education and Teaching.$49,362Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$46,181Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$54,666Educational Administration and Supervision.$74,013
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$76,606Health Services/Allied Health/Health Sciences, General.$46,928Dietetics and Clinical Nutrition Services.$46,282Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$48,038Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$57,478Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$111,158
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of Northern Colorado
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$543,557
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 8
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $16,792
- HS-only baseline · CO
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Colorado
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of Northern Colorado graduates earn $X” — not “University of Northern Colorado makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Northern Colorado caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.