-51%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Baptist University of Florida fell 51% between 2021 and 2024 (91.7% → 45.0%).
Florida · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Baptist University of Florida
Graceville, Florida. 248 undergraduate students. 22 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Baptist University of Florida
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+24%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Baptist University of Florida rose 23% between 2021 and 2024 ($12.2k → $15.0k).
+24%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Baptist University of Florida rose 23% between 2021 and 2024 ($12.2k → $15.0k).
-15%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Baptist University of Florida fell 15% between 2021 and 2024 (31.6% → 26.9%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Florida
Each tile compares this institution to the Florida median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$42,836+36% · 6→10y
Florida median $36,288$31,489
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry69.2%+33% · '98→'24
Florida median 65.6%$17,073+349% · '97→'20
At program completion248-27% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS84.2%-29% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time64.1%-62% · '01→'24
latest cohort$13,800+247% · '00→'24
out-of-state $13,800SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.3%Median federal debt $17,073 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $42,836 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+33%
Baptist University of Florida · completion · 150% rose
38.9% → 51.8%
+21%
Baptist University of Florida · completion · 100% rose
22.2% → 26.9%
-29%
Baptist University of Florida · retention fell
63.0% → 45.0%
-27%
Baptist University of Florida · undergrad enrollment fell
490 → 360
+247%
Baptist University of Florida · in-state tuition rose
$4,320 → $15,000
+247%
Baptist University of Florida · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,320 → $15,000
+349%
Baptist University of Florida · median debt rose
$5,250 → $23,590
-100%
Baptist University of Florida · cohort default rate fell
4.9% → 0.0%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Baptist University of Florida
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$61,137
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $8,928
- HS-only baseline · FL
- $35,400
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 39
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Florida
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Baptist University of Florida graduates earn $X” — not “Baptist University of Florida makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Baptist University of Florida caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.