-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Lake-Sumter State College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.4% → 0.0%).
Florida · Public · Predominantly associate's
Lake-Sumter State College
Leesburg, Florida. 3,572 undergraduate students. 27 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Lake-Sumter State College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+36%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Lake-Sumter State College rose 36% between 2021 and 2024 (3.1k → 4.2k).
+26%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Lake-Sumter State College rose 26% between 2021 and 2024 (38.2% → 48.4%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Florida
Each tile compares this institution to the Florida median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$39,876+20% · 6→10y
Florida median $36,288$33,193
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry44.7%+68% · '97→'24
Florida median 65.6%$4,500+100% · '97→'20
At program completion3,572+144% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS—-3% · '04→'11
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$3,292+134% · '00→'24
out-of-state $13,276SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.5%Median federal debt $4,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $39,876 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+68%
Lake-Sumter State College · completion · 150% rose
28.8% → 48.4%
+144%
Lake-Sumter State College · undergrad enrollment rose
1,712 → 4,177
+134%
Lake-Sumter State College · in-state tuition rose
$1,409 → $3,292
+155%
Lake-Sumter State College · out-of-state tuition rose
$5,207 → $13,276
+100%
Lake-Sumter State College · median debt rose
$3,371 → $6,750
-100%
Lake-Sumter State College · cohort default rate fell
17.0% → 0.0%
+73%
Lake-Sumter State College · pell share rose
17.3% → 29.9%
+26%
Lake-Sumter State College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$31,600 → $39,876
+28%
Lake-Sumter State College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$29,100 → $37,380
+29%
Lake-Sumter State College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$25,700 → $33,193
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
3 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Lake-Sumter State College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$86,898
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 18
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $7,445
- HS-only baseline · FL
- $35,400
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Florida
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Lake-Sumter State College graduates earn $X” — not “Lake-Sumter State College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Lake-Sumter State College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.