First-year retention
First-year retention at Cannella School of Hair Design-Chicago fell 74% between 2006 and 2009 (66.0% → 17.2%).
Chicago, Illinois. 8 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
First-year retention at Cannella School of Hair Design-Chicago fell 74% between 2006 and 2009 (66.0% → 17.2%).
Undergraduate enrollment at Cannella School of Hair Design-Chicago rose 34% between 2006 and 2009 (68 → 91).
Median federal debt at exit at Cannella School of Hair Design-Chicago rose 35% between 2007 and 2009 ($1.9k → $2.6k).
150%-time completion at Cannella School of Hair Design-Chicago rose 17% between 2006 and 2009 (52.3% → 61.3%).
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Median federal debt $2,533 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $18,132 (10y after entry).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
100.0% → 61.3%
75.0% → 17.2%
$1,313 → $2,625
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Cannella School of Hair Design-Chicago(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Cannella School of Hair Design-Chicago caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.