+24%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at John A Logan College rose 24% between 2015 and 2018 ($2.5k → $3.1k).
Illinois · Public · Predominantly associate's
John A Logan College
Carterville, Illinois. 2,018 undergraduate students. 70 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at John A Logan College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at John A Logan College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (8.6% → 0.0%).
-15%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at John A Logan College fell 15% between 2006 and 2009 (26.5% → 22.4%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$34,096+16% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810$29,460
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry41.5%-1% · '97→'09
Illinois median 53.3%$3,500+18% · '97→'18
At program completion2,018-63% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS65.2%-3% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$4,630+259% · '00→'24
out-of-state $7,540SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.4%Median federal debt $3,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $34,096 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-63%
John A Logan College · undergrad enrollment fell
5,498 → 2,016
+259%
John A Logan College · in-state tuition rose
$1,290 → $4,630
-100%
John A Logan College · cohort default rate fell
25.9% → 0.0%
+303%
John A Logan College · pell share rose
7.9% → 31.7%
+25%
John A Logan College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$27,300 → $34,096
+31%
John A Logan College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$22,500 → $29,460
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
2 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at John A Logan College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$169,394
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $9,138
- HS-only baseline · IL
- $38,300
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“John A Logan College graduates earn $X” — not “John A Logan College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending John A Logan College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.