-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Moraine Valley Community College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.0%).
Illinois · Public · Predominantly certificates
Moraine Valley Community College
Palos Hills, Illinois. 7,417 undergraduate students. 86 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Moraine Valley Community College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+14%
Public certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Moraine Valley Community College are 14% above the public certificate-predominant peer median ($43.9k vs $38.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$43,892+26% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810$34,943
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry33.2%-6% · '97→'09
Illinois median 53.3%$5,500+262% · '97→'20
At program completion7,417-37% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS75.6%+16% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$3,822+136% · '00→'24
out-of-state $9,846SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.7%Median federal debt $5,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $43,892 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+16%
Moraine Valley Community College · retention rose
65.0% → 75.1%
-37%
Moraine Valley Community College · undergrad enrollment fell
11,864 → 7,490
+136%
Moraine Valley Community College · in-state tuition rose
$1,622 → $3,822
+46%
Moraine Valley Community College · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,752 → $9,846
+262%
Moraine Valley Community College · median debt rose
$2,625 → $9,500
-100%
Moraine Valley Community College · cohort default rate fell
14.7% → 0.0%
+74%
Moraine Valley Community College · pell share rose
16.3% → 28.3%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance Technology/Technician (HAC, HACR, HVAC, HVACR).$84,422Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$78,243Business Administration, Management and Operations.$66,545Computer/Information Technology Administration and Management.$61,123Computer/Information Technology Administration and Management.$60,573Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$59,821Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$59,421Criminal Justice and Corrections.$57,275Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$55,838Biological and Physical Sciences.$53,502Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services.$44,083Health and Medical Administrative Services.$42,915Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$42,341Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$36,497
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
14 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Health and Medical Administrative Services.$42,915Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$78,243Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$59,821Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$36,497Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services.$44,083
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Moraine Valley Community College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$103,531
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 18
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $11,921
- HS-only baseline · IL
- $38,300
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Moraine Valley Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Moraine Valley Community College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Moraine Valley Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.