-88%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Trinity International University-Illinois fell 88% between 2021 and 2024 (476 → 55).
Illinois · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Trinity International University-Illinois
Deerfield, Illinois. 140 undergraduate students. 52 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Trinity International University-Illinois
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Trinity International University-Illinois fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.6% → 0.0%).
-79%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Trinity International University-Illinois fell 79% between 2021 and 2024 (59.0% → 12.5%).
-63%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Trinity International University-Illinois fell 63% between 2021 and 2024 ($33.3k → $12.3k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$46,989+13% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810$41,545
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry45.6%+71% · '97→'24
Illinois median 53.3%$19,500+374% · '97→'20
At program completion140-92% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS4.7%-84% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time93.2%+21% · '01→'24
latest cohort$12,320-13% · '00→'24
out-of-state $12,320SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.5%Median federal debt $19,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $46,989 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+71%
Trinity International University-Illinois · completion · 150% rose
27.0% → 46.1%
+61%
Trinity International University-Illinois · completion · 100% rose
22.6% → 36.4%
-84%
Trinity International University-Illinois · retention fell
80.0% → 12.5%
-92%
Trinity International University-Illinois · undergrad enrollment fell
707 → 55
+374%
Trinity International University-Illinois · median debt rose
$5,500 → $26,082
-100%
Trinity International University-Illinois · cohort default rate fell
9.2% → 0.0%
+291%
Trinity International University-Illinois · pell share rose
22.9% → 89.3%
+23%
Trinity International University-Illinois · earnings_median_10yr rose
$38,100 → $46,989
+20%
Trinity International University-Illinois · earnings_median_8yr rose
$35,900 → $43,251
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
7 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
THEOLOGY & RELIGIOUS VOCATIONS · CIP 39
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Trinity International University-Illinois
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$148,777
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 20
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $22,119
- HS-only baseline · IL
- $38,300
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 39
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Trinity International University-Illinois graduates earn $X” — not “Trinity International University-Illinois makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Trinity International University-Illinois caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.