-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Saint Paul School of Theology fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.2% → 0.0%).
Kansas · Private nonprofit · Predominantly graduate
Saint Paul School of Theology
Leawood, Kansas. 3 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Saint Paul School of Theology
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kansas
Each tile compares this institution to the Kansas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
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Kansas median $45,407—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry—
Kansas median 46.4%—
At program completion—
latest IPEDS—
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualFINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Saint Paul School of Theology
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Theological and Ministerial Studies · Master's Degree at Saint Paul School of Theology(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kansas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Saint Paul School of Theology graduates earn $X” — not “Saint Paul School of Theology makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Saint Paul School of Theology caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.