-21%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Kentucky State University are 21% below the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($36.4k vs $45.8k).
Kentucky · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Kentucky State University
Frankfort, Kentucky. 1,317 undergraduate students. 41 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Kentucky State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-33%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Kentucky State University fell 33% between 2021 and 2024 (20.6% → 13.8%).
-21%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Kentucky State University fell 21% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7k → 1.3k).
-14%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Kentucky State University fell 14% between 2021 and 2024 (37.2% → 31.9%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kentucky
Each tile compares this institution to the Kentucky median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$36,382+23% · 6→10y
Kentucky median $37,114$29,640
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry27.1%+12% · '97→'24
Kentucky median 49.7%$12,250+184% · '97→'20
At program completion1,317-38% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS60.8%+6% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time92.5%-0% · '01→'24
latest cohort$9,214+347% · '00→'24
out-of-state $13,260SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.5%Median federal debt $12,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $36,382 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-38%
Kentucky State University · undergrad enrollment fell
2,100 → 1,309
+347%
Kentucky State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,100 → $9,387
+117%
Kentucky State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,302 → $13,658
+184%
Kentucky State University · median debt rose
$9,124 → $25,938
-100%
Kentucky State University · cohort default rate fell
20.7% → 0.0%
+27%
Kentucky State University · pell share rose
46.1% → 58.3%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$91,629Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$72,396Business/Commerce, General.$51,854Criminal Justice and Corrections.$42,345Social Work.$42,265Psychology, General.$39,509Human Development, Family Studies, and Related Services.$33,321Journalism.$32,000
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
8 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Kentucky State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$57,579
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $9,471
- HS-only baseline · KY
- $33,900
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 09
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kentucky
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Kentucky State University graduates earn $X” — not “Kentucky State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Kentucky State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.