-34%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Midway University fell 34% between 2021 and 2024 (54.4% → 35.7%).
Kentucky · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Midway University
Midway, Kentucky. 1,250 undergraduate students. 31 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Midway University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Midway University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.5% → 0.0%).
-30%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Midway University fell 30% between 2021 and 2024 (58.3% → 40.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kentucky
Each tile compares this institution to the Kentucky median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$44,246+9% · 6→10y
Kentucky median $37,114$40,738
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry46.4%+50% · '98→'24
Kentucky median 49.7%$12,470+114% · '97→'20
At program completion1,250+30% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS68.8%+17% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time95.2%+37% · '07→'24
latest cohort$26,080+182% · '00→'24
out-of-state $26,080SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.8%Median federal debt $12,470 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $44,246 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+50%
Midway University · completion · 150% rose
27.1% → 40.7%
+172%
Midway University · completion · 100% rose
13.1% → 35.7%
+17%
Midway University · retention rose
58.0% → 67.6%
+30%
Midway University · undergrad enrollment rose
973 → 1,262
+182%
Midway University · in-state tuition rose
$9,636 → $27,220
+182%
Midway University · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,636 → $27,220
+114%
Midway University · median debt rose
$9,969 → $21,301
-100%
Midway University · cohort default rate fell
10.6% → 0.0%
+49%
Midway University · pell share rose
21.4% → 31.9%
+21%
Midway University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$33,800 → $40,738
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$77,264Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$59,943Business/Commerce, General.$58,004Health and Medical Administrative Services.$47,062Special Education and Teaching.$40,631Psychology, General.$39,981Agricultural and Domestic Animal Services.$32,554
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
7 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Midway University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$526,765
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $21,880
- HS-only baseline · KY
- $33,900
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kentucky
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Midway University graduates earn $X” — not “Midway University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Midway University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.