-75%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport fell 75% between 2006 and 2009 (40.0% → 10.0%).
Louisiana · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport
Shreveport, Louisiana. 102 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+71%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport rose 71% between 2006 and 2009 (32.6% → 55.9%).
+62%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport rose 62% between 2006 and 2009 ($2.2k → $3.5k).
-44%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport fell 43% between 2006 and 2009 (23 → 13).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Louisiana
Each tile compares this institution to the Louisiana median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$20,239+5% · 6→10y
Louisiana median $33,099$19,184
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry64.0%-33% · '97→'09
Louisiana median 52.0%$5,500+62% · '06→'09
At program completion102-41% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS78.3%-86% · '04→'09
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.6%Median federal debt $5,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $20,239 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-33%
Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport · completion · 150% fell
83.3% → 55.9%
-86%
Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport · retention fell
73.0% → 10.0%
+62%
Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport · median debt rose
$2,162 → $3,500
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Louisiana
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport graduates earn $X” — not “Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Pat Goins Beauty Schools formerly Paul Mitchell the School-Shreveport caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.