-43%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at University of Maine at Fort Kent fell 43% between 2021 and 2024 (1.1k → 599).
Maine · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
University of Maine at Fort Kent
Fort Kent, Maine. 638 undergraduate students. 33 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of Maine at Fort Kent
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-29%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 29% at University of Maine at Fort Kent vs the 2018–2022 baseline (638 vs 896).
-17%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at University of Maine at Fort Kent are 17% below 6-year earnings ($61.2k → $51.1k).
+15%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at University of Maine at Fort Kent rose 15% between 2021 and 2024 ($12.9k → $14.9k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Maine
Each tile compares this institution to the Maine median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$51,077-17% · 6→10y
Maine median $44,433$61,217
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry39.8%-3% · '97→'24
Maine median 56.4%$12,778+412% · '97→'20
At program completion638+9% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS65.3%+35% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time99.1%+1% · '01→'24
latest cohort$9,045+174% · '00→'24
out-of-state $14,325SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.3%Median federal debt $12,778 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $51,077 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+35%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · retention rose
66.0% → 89.3%
+174%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · in-state tuition rose
$3,434 → $9,420
+86%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · out-of-state tuition rose
$7,994 → $14,880
+412%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · median debt rose
$3,937 → $20,160
-100%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · cohort default rate fell
13.3% → 0.0%
+208%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · pell share rose
4.6% → 15.0%
+65%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · earnings_median_10yr rose
$30,900 → $51,077
+77%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · earnings_median_8yr rose
$31,500 → $55,899
+117%
University of Maine at Fort Kent · earnings_median_6yr rose
$28,200 → $61,217
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
2 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of Maine at Fort Kent
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$887,511
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $11,580
- HS-only baseline · ME
- $36,200
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Maine
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of Maine at Fort Kent graduates earn $X” — not “University of Maine at Fort Kent makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Maine at Fort Kent caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.