-47%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Bay Mills Community College fell 47% between 2019 and 2021 (75.0% → 40.0%).
Michigan · Public · Predominantly certificates
Bay Mills Community College
Brimley, Michigan. 531 undergraduate students. 28 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Bay Mills Community College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+22%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Bay Mills Community College rose 22% between 2021 and 2024 (544 → 662).
-11%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Bay Mills Community College fell 11% between 2021 and 2024 (33.9% → 30.2%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Michigan
Each tile compares this institution to the Michigan median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$30,048+7% · 6→10y
Michigan median $38,167$28,213
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry30.4%+78% · '99→'24
Michigan median 57.1%—
At program completion531+118% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS—+18% · '04→'21
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$3,320+50% · '00→'24
out-of-state $3,320SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
+78%
Bay Mills Community College · completion · 150% rose
17.0% → 30.2%
+18%
Bay Mills Community College · retention rose
34.0% → 40.0%
+118%
Bay Mills Community College · undergrad enrollment rose
304 → 662
+50%
Bay Mills Community College · in-state tuition rose
$2,320 → $3,480
+50%
Bay Mills Community College · out-of-state tuition rose
$2,320 → $3,480
+24%
Bay Mills Community College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$24,200 → $30,048
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Bay Mills Community College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Bay Mills Community College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Michigan
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Bay Mills Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Bay Mills Community College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Bay Mills Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.