Minnesota · Private for-profit · Predominantly bachelor's

Capella University

Minneapolis, Minnesota. 16,173 undergraduate students. 154 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Capella University

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-60%

150%-time completion

150%-time completion at Capella University fell 60% between 2021 and 2024 (50.0% → 20.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Capella University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.1% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-60%

100%-time completion

100%-time completion at Capella University fell 60% between 2021 and 2024 (50.0% → 20.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-31%

First-year retention

First-year retention at Capella University fell 31% between 2021 and 2024 (60.0% → 41.7%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Minnesota

Each tile compares this institution to the Minnesota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$42,189-13% · 6→10y
Minnesota median $48,321
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$48,500
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
33.3%
Minnesota median 54.7%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$8,814+328% · '01→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
16,173+4252% · '01→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
22.7%
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
+5% · '04→'11
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$14,436+52% · '04→'24
out-of-state $14,436
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

2.8%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $8,814 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $42,189 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 2001202418,364
18,36442220012024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 2010202420.0%
50%0%20102024
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 20012020$14,968
$29,281$3,50020012020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 20102024+400%

Capella University · completion · 150% rose

0.0% → 20.0%

RETENTION · 20052024+833%

Capella University · retention rose

0.0% → 41.7%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 20012024+4252%

Capella University · undergrad enrollment rose

422 → 18,364

IN-STATE TUITION · 20042024+52%

Capella University · in-state tuition rose

$9,450 → $14,400

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20042024+52%

Capella University · out-of-state tuition rose

$9,450 → $14,400

MEDIAN DEBT · 20012020+328%

Capella University · median debt rose

$3,500 → $14,968

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Capella University · cohort default rate fell

9.7% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20092020-36%

Capella University · earnings_median_10yr fell

$66,200 → $42,189

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20092020-36%

Capella University · earnings_median_8yr fell

$67,100 → $43,273

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20072020-24%

Capella University · earnings_median_6yr fell

$64,000 → $48,500

SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS

Ranked by 5-year earnings

Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.

Management Information Systems and Services.CIP 5212 · Doctoral Degree$151,7137 gradsComputer and Information Sciences, General.CIP 1101 · Doctoral Degree$137,25432 gradsComputer/Information Technology Administration and Management.CIP 1110 · Doctoral Degree$136,24461 gradsRegistered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.CIP 5138 · Doctoral Degree$127,480171 gradsHealth and Medical Administrative Services.CIP 5107 · Doctoral Degree$125,09681 gradsManagement Information Systems and Services.CIP 5212 · Master's Degree$122,6264 gradsRegistered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.CIP 5138 · Master's Degree$115,444643 gradsEducational/Instructional Media Design.CIP 1305 · Doctoral Degree$115,09326 gradsHomeland Security.CIP 4303 · Doctoral Degree$114,35712 gradsComputer and Information Sciences and Support Services, Other.CIP 1199 · Bachelor's Degree$111,3540 gradsComputer/Information Technology Administration and Management.CIP 1110 · Bachelor's Degree$110,796107 gradsComputer/Information Technology Administration and Management.CIP 1110 · Master's Degree$109,410102 gradsBusiness/Commerce, General.CIP 5201 · Doctoral Degree$108,0650 gradsTeacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.CIP 1313 · Doctoral Degree$102,25222 gradsTeacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.CIP 1312 · Doctoral Degree$100,63472 gradsRegistered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.CIP 5138 · Bachelor's Degree$96,7403,199 gradsClinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.CIP 4228 · Doctoral Degree$95,19798 gradsSocial Work.CIP 4407 · Doctoral Degree$93,70969 gradsBusiness Administration, Management and Operations.CIP 5202 · Doctoral Degree$92,085127 gradsEducational Administration and Supervision.CIP 1304 · Doctoral Degree$91,543195 gradsComputer and Information Sciences, General.CIP 1101 · Bachelor's Degree$90,24580 gradsCriminal Justice and Corrections.CIP 4301 · Doctoral Degree$89,62623 gradsManagement Sciences and Quantitative Methods.CIP 5213 · Master's Degree$89,18030 gradsEducation, Other.CIP 1399 · Doctoral Degree$89,0320 grads
Showing top 24 of 80 ranked programs.154 TOTAL PROGRAMS
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

80 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11

EDUCATION · CIP 13

FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19

MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44

SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45

HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Capella University

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$981,093
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 6
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 6year 0year 39
Cost per year
$20,489
HS-only baseline · MN
$39,400
Years to complete
4
CIP family
51

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Capella University graduates earn $X” — not “Capella University makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Capella University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →