-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Metropolitan State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.4% → 0.0%).
Minnesota · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Metropolitan State University
Saint Paul, Minnesota. 4,998 undergraduate students. 82 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Metropolitan State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+80%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Metropolitan State University rose 80% between 2021 and 2024 (15.1% → 27.1%).
+14%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Metropolitan State University rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 (38.4% → 43.6%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Minnesota
Each tile compares this institution to the Minnesota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$64,705+18% · 6→10y
Minnesota median $48,321$54,828
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry38.4%+31% · '00→'24
Minnesota median 54.7%$12,900+280% · '97→'20
At program completion4,998+33% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS73.3%+54% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time96.5%+29% · '02→'24
latest cohort$9,780+234% · '00→'24
out-of-state $9,780SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.7%Median federal debt $12,900 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $64,705 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+31%
Metropolitan State University · completion · 150% rose
33.3% → 43.6%
+54%
Metropolitan State University · retention rose
44.0% → 67.5%
+33%
Metropolitan State University · undergrad enrollment rose
4,207 → 5,616
+234%
Metropolitan State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,942 → $9,840
+52%
Metropolitan State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,462 → $9,840
+280%
Metropolitan State University · median debt rose
$4,500 → $17,100
-100%
Metropolitan State University · cohort default rate fell
7.0% → 0.0%
+70%
Metropolitan State University · pell share rose
28.0% → 47.5%
+55%
Metropolitan State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$41,700 → $64,705
+49%
Metropolitan State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$40,200 → $59,836
+39%
Metropolitan State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$39,400 → $54,828
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Computer Science.$99,864Management Information Systems and Services.$93,586Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$92,966Business Administration, Management and Operations.$83,445Information Science/Studies.$82,008Computer/Information Technology Administration and Management.$81,130Criminal Justice and Corrections.$79,577Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$70,018Business Administration, Management and Operations.$69,606Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$68,407Accounting and Related Services.$67,821Human Resources Management and Services.$64,963Biology, General.$64,316Finance and Financial Management Services.$62,374Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$61,930Marketing.$61,040Criminal Justice and Corrections.$60,410Communication and Media Studies.$60,038Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$58,761Social Work.$57,301Human Services, General.$51,794Rhetoric and Composition/Writing Studies.$50,935Social Sciences, General.$50,858Psychology, General.$49,480
Showing top 24 of 27 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
27 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$69,606Accounting and Related Services.$67,821Human Resources Management and Services.$64,963Business Administration, Management and Operations.$83,445Finance and Financial Management Services.$62,374Marketing.$61,040Management Information Systems and Services.$93,586
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Metropolitan State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$532,840
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 9
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $18,128
- HS-only baseline · MN
- $39,400
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Minnesota
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Metropolitan State University graduates earn $X” — not “Metropolitan State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Metropolitan State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.