-59%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Evolve Beauty Academy fell 59% between 2021 and 2024 (39 → 16).
Missouri · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Evolve Beauty Academy
Washing, Missouri. 21 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Evolve Beauty Academy
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Evolve Beauty Academy fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (21.2% → 0.0%).
-14%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Evolve Beauty Academy fell 14% between 2021 and 2024 (100.0% → 85.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
Missouri median $40,979—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry81.3%
Missouri median 59.3%$7,892
At program completion21-24% · '11→'24
latest IPEDS100.0%+3% · '11→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
-36%
Evolve Beauty Academy · pell share fell
52.2% → 33.3%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Evolve Beauty Academy
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Evolve Beauty Academy(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Evolve Beauty Academy graduates earn $X” — not “Evolve Beauty Academy makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Evolve Beauty Academy caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.