-37%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Harris-Stowe State University are 37% below the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($31.1k vs $49.7k).
Missouri · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Harris-Stowe State University
Saint Louis, Missouri. 1,086 undergraduate students. 22 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Harris-Stowe State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-22%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 22% at Harris-Stowe State University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (1.1k vs 1.4k).
-20%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Harris-Stowe State University fell 20% between 2021 and 2024 (1.2k → 960).
+11%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Harris-Stowe State University rose 11% between 2021 and 2024 ($10.5k → $11.6k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$31,088+17% · 6→10y
Missouri median $40,979$26,634
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry27.4%+49% · '97→'24
Missouri median 59.3%$13,500+392% · '97→'20
At program completion1,086-29% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS68.6%+29% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—+4% · '02→'04
latest cohort$6,442+101% · '00→'09
out-of-state $11,074SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.8%Median federal debt $13,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $31,088 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+49%
Harris-Stowe State University · completion · 150% rose
18.5% → 27.6%
+29%
Harris-Stowe State University · retention rose
53.0% → 68.4%
-29%
Harris-Stowe State University · undergrad enrollment fell
1,360 → 960
+101%
Harris-Stowe State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,160 → $4,336
+174%
Harris-Stowe State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,255 → $11,640
+392%
Harris-Stowe State University · median debt rose
$5,268 → $25,930
-100%
Harris-Stowe State University · cohort default rate fell
26.5% → 0.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
3 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Harris-Stowe State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$224,027
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 15
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $15,521
- HS-only baseline · MO
- $35,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Harris-Stowe State University graduates earn $X” — not “Harris-Stowe State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Harris-Stowe State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.