-18%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Centenary University fell 18% between 2021 and 2024 (68.4% → 56.0%).
New Jersey · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Centenary University
Hackettstown, New Jersey. 934 undergraduate students. 65 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Centenary University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Centenary University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.6% → 0.0%).
-18%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Centenary University fell 18% between 2021 and 2024 (1.1k → 910).
+31%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Centenary University rose 31% between 2006 and 2009 (38.6% → 50.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New Jersey
Each tile compares this institution to the New Jersey median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$53,726+17% · 6→10y
New Jersey median $46,742$46,049
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry56.6%+92% · '97→'24
New Jersey median 62.0%$19,321+189% · '97→'20
At program completion934+21% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS74.9%+8% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time96.7%+7% · '01→'09
latest cohort$37,732+160% · '00→'24
out-of-state $37,732SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.8%Median federal debt $19,321 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $53,726 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+92%
Centenary University · completion · 150% rose
29.2% → 56.0%
+105%
Centenary University · completion · 100% rose
24.7% → 50.7%
+21%
Centenary University · undergrad enrollment rose
755 → 910
+160%
Centenary University · in-state tuition rose
$14,500 → $37,732
+160%
Centenary University · out-of-state tuition rose
$14,500 → $37,732
+189%
Centenary University · median debt rose
$8,021 → $23,163
-100%
Centenary University · cohort default rate fell
7.2% → 0.0%
+85%
Centenary University · pell share rose
20.6% → 38.3%
+31%
Centenary University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$35,100 → $46,049
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$106,382Educational Administration and Supervision.$73,543Business Administration, Management and Operations.$64,861Apparel and Textiles.$63,058Sociology.$59,060Criminal Justice and Corrections.$55,071Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$54,473Agricultural Production Operations.$49,224Radio, Television, and Digital Communication.$48,986Design and Applied Arts.$36,388
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
10 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Centenary University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$412,473
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 10
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $15,190
- HS-only baseline · NJ
- $41,700
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New Jersey
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Centenary University graduates earn $X” — not “Centenary University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Centenary University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.