+14%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at The College of New Jersey rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 ($17.3k → $19.6k).
New Jersey · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
TCNJ
Ewing, New Jersey. 6,831 undergraduate students. 70 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
Earnings, completion, debt, and enrollment anomalies at TCNJ
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at The College of New Jersey fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.8% → 0.0%).
+21%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at The College of New Jersey are 21% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($73.3k vs $60.7k).
-13%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at The College of New Jersey fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($29.6k → $25.8k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
TCNJ earnings, debt, and completion vs. the New Jersey median
Each tile compares this institution to the New Jersey median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$73,323+17% · 6→10y
New Jersey median $46,742$62,649
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry85.2%+14% · '97→'24
New Jersey median 62.0%$21,500+100% · '97→'20
At program completion6,831+29% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS90.2%-5% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time62.1%-10% · '01→'09
latest cohort$18,685+228% · '00→'24
out-of-state $24,568SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How TCNJ earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings at TCNJ
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.9%Median federal debt $21,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $73,323 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
TCNJ enrollment, completion, and debt over time
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+41%
TCNJ · completion · 100% rose
51.7% → 72.7%
+29%
TCNJ · undergrad enrollment rose
5,528 → 7,105
+228%
TCNJ · in-state tuition rose
$5,991 → $19,632
+172%
TCNJ · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,464 → $25,752
+100%
TCNJ · median debt rose
$11,625 → $23,250
-100%
TCNJ · cohort default rate fell
2.3% → 0.0%
+46%
TCNJ · pell share rose
14.3% → 21.0%
+27%
TCNJ · earnings_median_10yr rose
$57,900 → $73,323
+27%
TCNJ · earnings_median_6yr rose
$49,300 → $62,649
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
TCNJ programs ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Computer and Information Sciences, General$105,889Business Administration, Management and Operations$98,541Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing$98,401Accounting and Related Services$98,331Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering$97,224Engineering Science$88,486Bilingual, Multilingual, and Multicultural Education$86,522Mechanical Engineering$84,253Political Science and Government$79,476Economics$77,796Mathematics$77,172International Relations and National Security Studies$75,393Educational Administration and Supervision$73,847Biology, General$72,463Communication and Media Studies$72,091Teaching English or French as a Second or Foreign Language$67,887Sociology$67,732Special Education and Teaching$66,222Design and Applied Arts$66,197Psychology, General$65,599Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas$65,228Criminal Justice and Corrections$64,467Student Counseling and Personnel Services$60,724History$59,014
Showing top 24 of 28 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
28 TCNJ programs with earnings, grouped by field
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods$58,713Educational Administration and Supervision$73,847Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas$65,228Special Education and Teaching$66,222Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods$57,155Student Counseling and Personnel Services$60,724Bilingual, Multilingual, and Multicultural Education$86,522Teaching English or French as a Second or Foreign Language$67,887
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at TCNJ
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$1,028,259
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 6
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $20,638
- HS-only baseline · NJ
- $41,700
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Institutions similar to TCNJ in New Jersey
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“TCNJ graduates earn $X” — not “TCNJ makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending TCNJ caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.