-28%
Public certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Navajo Technical University are 28% below the public certificate-predominant peer median ($26.4k vs $36.5k).
New Mexico · Public · Predominantly certificates
Navajo Technical University
Crownpoint, New Mexico. 1,134 undergraduate students. 55 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Navajo Technical University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+90%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Navajo Technical University rose 90% between 2021 and 2024 (20.0% → 37.9%).
-100%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Navajo Technical University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (17.6% → 0.0%).
+62%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Navajo Technical University rose 62% between 2021 and 2024 (7.3% → 11.9%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New Mexico
Each tile compares this institution to the New Mexico median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$26,364+13% · 6→10y
New Mexico median $36,869$23,280
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry19.7%-85% · '98→'24
New Mexico median 39.2%—
At program completion1,134+376% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS86.4%-47% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$4,250+805% · '01→'24
out-of-state $4,250SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
-85%
Navajo Technical University · completion · 150% fell
79.2% → 11.9%
-100%
Navajo Technical University · completion · 100% fell
79.5% → 0.0%
-47%
Navajo Technical University · retention fell
71.0% → 37.9%
+376%
Navajo Technical University · undergrad enrollment rose
236 → 1,124
+387%
Navajo Technical University · in-state tuition rose
$480 → $4,346
+387%
Navajo Technical University · out-of-state tuition rose
$480 → $4,346
-38%
Navajo Technical University · pell share fell
79.8% → 49.4%
+26%
Navajo Technical University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$21,000 → $26,364
+37%
Navajo Technical University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$17,000 → $23,280
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Navajo Technical University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Precision Metal Working · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Navajo Technical University(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New Mexico
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Navajo Technical University graduates earn $X” — not “Navajo Technical University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Navajo Technical University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.