+23%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Alfred University rose 23% between 2021 and 2024 ($33.9k → $41.5k).
New York · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Alfred University
Alfred, New York. 1,401 undergraduate students. 61 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Alfred University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Alfred University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.3% → 0.0%).
+19%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Alfred University rose 19% between 2021 and 2024 ($35.0k → $41.5k).
+10%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Alfred University rose 10% between 2021 and 2024 (70.5% → 77.5%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$54,897+32% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$41,703
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry55.5%-16% · '97→'24
New York median 64.2%$17,751+91% · '97→'20
At program completion1,401+15% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS76.7%-5% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time48.3%-1% · '01→'24
latest cohort$39,530+117% · '00→'24
out-of-state $39,530SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.3%Median federal debt $17,751 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,897 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+117%
Alfred University · in-state tuition rose
$19,158 → $41,500
+117%
Alfred University · out-of-state tuition rose
$19,158 → $41,500
+91%
Alfred University · median debt rose
$13,625 → $26,000
-100%
Alfred University · cohort default rate fell
5.9% → 0.0%
+28%
Alfred University · pell share rose
30.0% → 38.5%
+27%
Alfred University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$40,300 → $51,231
+25%
Alfred University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$33,400 → $41,703
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$92,053Mechanical Engineering.$82,912Public Administration.$80,741Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$80,049Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$72,375Accounting and Related Services.$67,764Accounting and Related Services.$67,591Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$63,667Business Administration, Management and Operations.$63,050Marketing.$62,759Biology, General.$61,219Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$55,856Business Administration, Management and Operations.$52,309Communication and Media Studies.$51,996Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$51,261Psychology, General.$51,248Natural Resources Conservation and Research.$46,328Criminal Justice and Corrections.$43,102Fine and Studio Arts.$35,338
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
19 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Alfred University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$225,960
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $23,315
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 50
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Alfred University graduates earn $X” — not “Alfred University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Alfred University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.