-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.5% → 0.0%).
New York · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice
New York, New York. 11,340 undergraduate students. 50 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$56,195+12% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$50,293
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry55.5%+171% · '97→'24
New York median 64.2%$9,250+214% · '97→'20
At program completion11,340+20% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS81.3%+7% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time57.2%-25% · '01→'24
latest cohort$7,470+126% · '00→'24
out-of-state $15,420SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.2%Median federal debt $9,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $56,195 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+171%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · completion · 150% rose
20.6% → 55.8%
+1768%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · completion · 100% rose
2.2% → 41.1%
+126%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · in-state tuition rose
$3,309 → $7,470
+123%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,909 → $15,420
+214%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · median debt rose
$3,500 → $11,000
-100%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · cohort default rate fell
4.8% → 0.0%
+26%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · pell share rose
47.5% → 59.8%
+37%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · earnings_median_10yr rose
$41,000 → $56,195
+41%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · earnings_median_8yr rose
$40,100 → $56,676
+43%
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice · earnings_median_6yr rose
$35,100 → $50,293
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Homeland Security.$90,631Public Administration.$84,229Security Science and Technology.$83,952Criminal Justice and Corrections.$76,638Computer/Information Technology Administration and Management.$73,192Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$68,849Security Science and Technology.$65,413Economics.$63,500Fire Protection.$62,910Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$62,124Criminal Justice and Corrections.$62,064Social Sciences, Other.$61,792Political Science and Government.$59,730Dispute Resolution.$59,649History.$58,766Non-Professional General Legal Studies (Undergraduate).$58,557Public Administration.$57,522Criminology.$56,457Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$56,313Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$55,307English Language and Literature, General.$53,181Philosophy.$51,730Criminal Justice and Corrections.$50,293
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
23 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PHILOSOPHY & RELIGIOUS STUDIES · CIP 38
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
HISTORY · CIP 54
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$393,173
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 8
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $7,654
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 43
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice graduates earn $X” — not “CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.