-25%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 25% at SUNY at Fredonia vs the 2018–2022 baseline (2.9k vs 3.8k).
New York · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
SUNY at Fredonia
Fredonia, New York. 2,860 undergraduate students. 86 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at SUNY at Fredonia
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-22%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at SUNY at Fredonia fell 22% between 2021 and 2024 (3.5k → 2.8k).
-22%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at SUNY at Fredonia fell 22% between 2021 and 2024 (47.4% → 37.2%).
+15%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at SUNY at Fredonia rose 15% between 2006 and 2009 ($5.4k → $6.3k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$54,247+34% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$40,580
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry53.5%-4% · '97→'09
New York median 64.2%$17,500+152% · '97→'20
At program completion2,860-36% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS76.2%-9% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time79.2%-13% · '01→'09
latest cohort$8,771+48% · '00→'09
out-of-state $19,191SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.3%Median federal debt $17,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,247 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-23%
SUNY at Fredonia · completion · 100% fell
48.3% → 37.2%
-36%
SUNY at Fredonia · undergrad enrollment fell
4,273 → 2,755
+48%
SUNY at Fredonia · in-state tuition rose
$4,225 → $6,259
+117%
SUNY at Fredonia · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,125 → $19,771
+152%
SUNY at Fredonia · median debt rose
$9,625 → $24,250
-100%
SUNY at Fredonia · cohort default rate fell
7.3% → 0.0%
+36%
SUNY at Fredonia · pell share rose
28.5% → 38.8%
+27%
SUNY at Fredonia · earnings_median_6yr rose
$32,000 → $40,580
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Computer and Information Sciences, General.$80,041Finance and Financial Management Services.$70,576Information Science/Studies.$63,851Accounting and Related Services.$63,150Business Administration, Management and Operations.$61,751Biology, General.$61,275Special Education and Teaching.$60,750Teaching English or French as a Second or Foreign Language.$58,948Curriculum and Instruction.$58,612Criminal Justice and Corrections.$54,265Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$53,868Political Science and Government.$53,415Music.$52,731Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$52,711Marketing.$52,642Special Education and Teaching.$52,511Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication.$50,633Psychology, General.$50,001Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$49,975Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$49,403Social Work.$49,105History.$47,508Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$46,953Design and Applied Arts.$43,925
Showing top 24 of 31 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
31 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$49,975Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$46,953Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$52,711Special Education and Teaching.$52,511Teaching English or French as a Second or Foreign Language.$58,948Curriculum and Instruction.$58,612Special Education and Teaching.$60,750
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
LEISURE & RECREATIONAL ACTIVITIES · CIP 36
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at SUNY at Fredonia
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$61,891
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 23
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $15,522
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 13
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“SUNY at Fredonia graduates earn $X” — not “SUNY at Fredonia makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending SUNY at Fredonia caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.