-20%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 20% at SUNY College at Geneseo vs the 2018–2022 baseline (3.9k vs 4.8k).
New York · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
SUNY College at Geneseo
Geneseo, New York. 3,855 undergraduate students. 42 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at SUNY College at Geneseo
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+14%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at SUNY College at Geneseo rose 14% between 2006 and 2009 ($5.6k → $6.3k).
-13%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at SUNY College at Geneseo fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (4.4k → 3.9k).
-7pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 7 pp at SUNY College at Geneseo vs the 2003–2007 baseline (72.1% vs 79.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$67,316+32% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$51,097
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry72.1%-1% · '97→'09
New York median 64.2%$14,836+77% · '97→'20
At program completion3,855-26% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS83.8%-2% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time63.5%-31% · '01→'09
latest cohort$8,966+50% · '00→'09
out-of-state $19,206SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.9%Median federal debt $14,836 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $67,316 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-26%
SUNY College at Geneseo · undergrad enrollment fell
5,230 → 3,869
+50%
SUNY College at Geneseo · in-state tuition rose
$4,221 → $6,326
+115%
SUNY College at Geneseo · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,121 → $19,569
+77%
SUNY College at Geneseo · median debt rose
$11,000 → $19,500
-100%
SUNY College at Geneseo · cohort default rate fell
2.8% → 0.0%
+42%
SUNY College at Geneseo · pell share rose
19.4% → 27.6%
+25%
SUNY College at Geneseo · earnings_median_6yr rose
$40,900 → $51,097
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Economics.$89,088Accounting and Related Services.$86,193Business Administration, Management and Operations.$75,486Biology, General.$72,710Chemistry.$70,829Mathematics.$70,445International Relations and National Security Studies.$68,963Political Science and Government.$68,460Romance Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics.$61,314History.$56,767Communication and Media Studies.$56,074Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$54,026Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$53,016Psychology, General.$52,083Sociology.$51,153English Language and Literature, General.$48,367
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
16 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at SUNY College at Geneseo
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$124,534
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 17
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $15,180
- HS-only baseline · NY
- $40,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 42
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“SUNY College at Geneseo graduates earn $X” — not “SUNY College at Geneseo makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending SUNY College at Geneseo caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.