-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Forsyth Technical Community College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.9% → 0.0%).
North Carolina · Public · Predominantly associate's
Forsyth Technical Community College
Winston-Salem, North Carolina. 6,939 undergraduate students. 84 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Forsyth Technical Community College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+23%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Forsyth Technical Community College rose 23% between 2021 and 2024 (59.7% → 73.2%).
+10%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Forsyth Technical Community College rose 10% between 2021 and 2024 (6.5k → 7.1k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. North Carolina
Each tile compares this institution to the North Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$34,139+13% · 6→10y
North Carolina median $36,030$30,285
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry27.7%-46% · '97→'09
North Carolina median 46.1%$5,888+463% · '97→'20
At program completion6,939+220% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS73.9%+24% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$2,256+159% · '00→'24
out-of-state $6,864SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.3%Median federal debt $5,888 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $34,139 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-46%
Forsyth Technical Community College · completion · 150% fell
27.9% → 15.0%
+24%
Forsyth Technical Community College · retention rose
59.0% → 73.2%
+220%
Forsyth Technical Community College · undergrad enrollment rose
2,226 → 7,113
+140%
Forsyth Technical Community College · in-state tuition rose
$880 → $2,276
+463%
Forsyth Technical Community College · median debt rose
$1,775 → $10,000
-23%
Forsyth Technical Community College · pell share fell
32.5% → 25.2%
+21%
Forsyth Technical Community College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$25,000 → $30,285
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$73,441Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$62,317Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$52,441Business Administration, Management and Operations.$43,696Criminal Justice and Corrections.$43,228Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$42,743Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$38,787Health and Medical Administrative Services.$36,439Health and Medical Administrative Services.$31,492Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$29,816Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$29,038
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
11 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$73,441Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$29,038Health and Medical Administrative Services.$31,492Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$62,317Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$52,441Health and Medical Administrative Services.$36,439Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$29,816
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Forsyth Technical Community College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$94,198
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 17
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $6,026
- HS-only baseline · NC
- $35,600
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in North Carolina
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Forsyth Technical Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Forsyth Technical Community College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Forsyth Technical Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.