-21%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 21% at Wayne Community College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (2.0k vs 2.5k).
North Carolina · Public · Predominantly certificates
Wayne Community College
Goldsboro, North Carolina. 1,998 undergraduate students. 55 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Wayne Community College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+18%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Wayne Community College rose 18% between 2017 and 2020 ($5.5k → $6.5k).
-12%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Wayne Community College fell 12% between 2006 and 2009 (22.5% → 19.9%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. North Carolina
Each tile compares this institution to the North Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$34,148+7% · 6→10y
North Carolina median $36,030$31,900
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry56.6%-21% · '97→'09
North Carolina median 46.1%$5,875+160% · '97→'20
At program completion1,998+174% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS70.1%+12% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$2,524+186% · '00→'24
out-of-state $8,668SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.3%Median federal debt $5,875 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $34,148 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-21%
Wayne Community College · completion · 150% fell
25.1% → 19.9%
+12%
Wayne Community College · retention rose
60.0% → 67.0%
+174%
Wayne Community College · undergrad enrollment rose
998 → 2,739
+167%
Wayne Community College · in-state tuition rose
$896 → $2,566
+60%
Wayne Community College · out-of-state tuition rose
$5,448 → $8,710
+160%
Wayne Community College · median debt rose
$2,500 → $6,500
-100%
Wayne Community College · cohort default rate fell
12.9% → 0.0%
+32%
Wayne Community College · pell share rose
36.1% → 47.6%
+26%
Wayne Community College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$27,100 → $34,148
+43%
Wayne Community College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$24,400 → $35,000
+40%
Wayne Community College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$22,800 → $31,900
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$67,390Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$59,868Computer and Information Sciences, General.$55,079Computer and Information Sciences, General.$47,523Precision Metal Working.$42,329Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$40,650Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$39,302Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$38,190Business Administration, Management and Operations.$32,396Business Administration, Management and Operations.$32,044Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services.$31,618Health and Medical Administrative Services.$30,956Health and Medical Administrative Services.$28,203Design and Applied Arts.$20,225
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
14 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
PRECISION PRODUCTION · CIP 48
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Wayne Community College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$106,557
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 15
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $5,213
- HS-only baseline · NC
- $35,600
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in North Carolina
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Wayne Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Wayne Community College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Wayne Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.