Fargo, North Dakota. 9,567 undergraduate students. 232 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
UNITID 200332 · OPEID 002997 · IPEDS HDVINTAGE · COLLEGE SCORECARD · 2025-05 · HISTORY 1996–2024
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
Earnings, completion, debt, and enrollment anomalies at NDSU
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at North Dakota State University-Main Campus fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.1% → 0.0%).
PEER OUTLIER · TRENDING BETTER+20%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at North Dakota State University-Main Campus are 20% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($62.2k vs $51.8k).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+12%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at North Dakota State University-Main Campus rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 (41.2% → 46.3%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
NDSU earnings, debt, and completion vs. the North Dakota median
Each tile compares this institution to the North Dakota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$62,203+15% · 6→10y
North Dakota median $47,828
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$54,312
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
63.7%+42% · '97→'24
North Dakota median 48.1%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$16,750+312% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
9,567+9% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
76.9%-2% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
95.8%+43% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$10,857+240% · '01→'24
out-of-state $15,511
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How NDSU earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings at NDSU
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.6%
0%8% · GE20%+
Median federal debt $16,750 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $62,203 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
NDSU enrollment, completion, and debt over time
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
UNDERGRAD · 1996–20249,471
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202463.9%
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$23,199
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+42%
NDSU · completion · 150% rose
45.0% → 63.9%
COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2024+290%
NDSU · completion · 100% rose
11.9% → 46.3%
IN-STATE TUITION · 2001→2024+240%
NDSU · in-state tuition rose
$3,272 → $11,110
OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2001→2024+100%
NDSU · out-of-state tuition rose
$7,871 → $15,764
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+312%
NDSU · median debt rose
$5,628 → $23,199
COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%
NDSU · cohort default rate fell
3.6% → 0.0%
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 2007→2020+33%
NDSU · earnings_median_10yr rose
$46,600 → $62,203
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+35%
NDSU · earnings_median_8yr rose
$42,900 → $57,779
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+44%
NDSU · earnings_median_6yr rose
$37,800 → $54,312
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
NDSU programs ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$556,367
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 7
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
Cost per year
$14,166
HS-only baseline · ND
$38,900
Years to complete
4
CIP family
51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Institutions similar to NDSU in North Dakota
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
“NDSU graduates earn $X” — not “NDSU makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending NDSU caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.