North Dakota · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School

Ellendale, North Dakota. 138 undergraduate students. 20 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Trinity Bible College and Graduate School

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+11%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Trinity Bible College and Graduate School rose 11% between 2021 and 2024 ($17.7k → $19.7k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Trinity Bible College and Graduate School fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (4.7% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+11%

Out-of-state tuition

Out-of-state tuition at Trinity Bible College and Graduate School rose 11% between 2021 and 2024 ($17.7k → $19.7k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+20%

100%-time completion

100%-time completion at Trinity Bible College and Graduate School rose 20% between 2021 and 2024 (32.4% → 38.7%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. North Dakota

Each tile compares this institution to the North Dakota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$35,604+22% · 6→10y
North Dakota median $47,828
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$29,234
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
38.8%+44% · '97→'24
North Dakota median 48.1%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$16,043+240% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
138-55% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
72.4%-18% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
36.2%-4% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$18,762+202% · '00→'24
out-of-state $18,762
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

6.0%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $16,043 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $35,604 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 19962024141
34713819962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997202446.0%
87%23%19972024
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$22,531
$27,177$6,12519972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 19972024+44%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · completion · 150% rose

31.9% → 46.0%

COMPLETION · 100% · 19972024+84%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · completion · 100% rose

21.1% → 38.7%

RETENTION · 20042024-18%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · retention fell

77.0% → 62.9%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024-55%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · undergrad enrollment fell

311 → 141

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+202%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · in-state tuition rose

$6,520 → $19,700

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20002024+202%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · out-of-state tuition rose

$6,520 → $19,700

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+240%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · median debt rose

$6,625 → $22,531

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · cohort default rate fell

8.5% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+38%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · earnings_median_10yr rose

$25,800 → $35,604

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+29%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · earnings_median_8yr rose

$25,300 → $32,687

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+29%

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School · earnings_median_6yr rose

$22,600 → $29,234

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Trinity Bible College and Graduate School

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

EARNINGS SUPPRESSED

Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Bible/Biblical Studies · Bachelor's Degree at Trinity Bible College and Graduate School(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Trinity Bible College and Graduate School graduates earn $X” — not “Trinity Bible College and Graduate School makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Trinity Bible College and Graduate School caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →