+237%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Antioch College rose 237% between 2016 and 2019 ($6.1k → $20.5k).
Ohio · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Antioch College
Yellow Springs, Ohio. 127 undergraduate students. 11 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Antioch College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Antioch College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.2% → 0.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
Ohio median $41,039$32,114
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry26.3%
Ohio median 62.5%$6,518+237% · '16→'19
At program completion127-55% · '15→'24
latest IPEDS61.3%
first-time, full-time81.7%+24% · '15→'24
latest cohort$37,143
out-of-state $37,143SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-55%
Antioch College · undergrad enrollment fell
266 → 121
+237%
Antioch College · median debt rose
$6,079 → $20,466
-100%
Antioch College · cohort default rate fell
20.0% → 0.0%
+1317%
Antioch College · pell share rose
0.0% → 65.9%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Antioch College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Natural Resources Conservation and Research · Bachelor's Degree at Antioch College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Antioch College graduates earn $X” — not “Antioch College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Antioch College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.