-23%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Capital University fell 22% between 2021 and 2024 (2.0k → 1.6k).
Ohio · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Capital University
Columbus, Ohio. 1,709 undergraduate students. 59 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Capital University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Capital University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.0%).
-22%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 22% at Capital University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (1.7k vs 2.2k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$54,143+18% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039$45,767
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry65.5%-12% · '97→'09
Ohio median 62.5%$20,927+156% · '97→'20
At program completion1,709+74% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS73.6%-3% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time73.2%-13% · '01→'24
latest cohort$41,788+156% · '00→'24
out-of-state $41,788SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.1%Median federal debt $20,927 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,143 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+74%
Capital University · undergrad enrollment rose
913 → 1,585
+156%
Capital University · in-state tuition rose
$16,880 → $43,234
+156%
Capital University · out-of-state tuition rose
$16,880 → $43,234
+156%
Capital University · median debt rose
$10,500 → $26,889
-100%
Capital University · cohort default rate fell
6.2% → 0.0%
+69%
Capital University · pell share rose
20.1% → 33.9%
+28%
Capital University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$42,400 → $54,143
+23%
Capital University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$40,100 → $49,433
+24%
Capital University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$36,800 → $45,767
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$106,647Computer Science.$95,013Theological and Ministerial Studies.$85,317Accounting and Related Services.$81,240Law.$79,762Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$74,378Business Administration, Management and Operations.$63,516Criminology.$59,750Sociology.$59,531Biology, General.$58,735Marketing.$57,758Political Science and Government.$56,524Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$54,904Special Education and Teaching.$49,486Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$49,188Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication.$48,600Psychology, General.$47,965Social Work.$47,490Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$47,168Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$45,303Music.$44,322
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
21 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
THEOLOGY & RELIGIOUS VOCATIONS · CIP 39
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Capital University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$534,703
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 14
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $22,265
- HS-only baseline · OH
- $36,400
- Years to complete
- 7
- CIP family
- 22
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Capital University graduates earn $X” — not “Capital University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Capital University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.