-10%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at University of Dayton fell 10% between 2021 and 2024 (8.6k → 7.7k).
Ohio · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
University of Dayton
Dayton, Ohio. 8,099 undergraduate students. 147 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of Dayton
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at University of Dayton fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.5% → 0.0%).
+42%
Private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at University of Dayton are 42% above the private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer median ($75.5k vs $53.2k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$75,537+21% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039$62,477
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry81.5%+9% · '97→'09
Ohio median 62.5%$19,500+84% · '97→'20
At program completion8,099+18% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS88.8%+2% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time61.7%-18% · '01→'24
latest cohort$47,600+206% · '00→'24
out-of-state $47,600SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%Median federal debt $19,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $75,537 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+29%
University of Dayton · completion · 100% rose
50.6% → 65.3%
+206%
University of Dayton · in-state tuition rose
$16,070 → $49,140
+206%
University of Dayton · out-of-state tuition rose
$16,070 → $49,140
+84%
University of Dayton · median debt rose
$12,647 → $23,250
-100%
University of Dayton · cohort default rate fell
2.4% → 0.0%
+50%
University of Dayton · pell share rose
10.5% → 15.8%
+39%
University of Dayton · earnings_median_10yr rose
$54,400 → $75,537
+42%
University of Dayton · earnings_median_8yr rose
$49,000 → $69,652
+44%
University of Dayton · earnings_median_6yr rose
$43,500 → $62,477
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering.$100,879Chemical Engineering.$99,917Business/Managerial Economics.$97,394Business Administration, Management and Operations.$96,146Business Administration, Management and Operations.$93,642Mechanical Engineering.$93,487Civil Engineering.$90,774International Business.$90,570Management Information Systems and Services.$89,258Accounting and Related Services.$88,053Finance and Financial Management Services.$86,861Mechanical Engineering Related Technologies/Technicians.$85,129Law.$83,478Physiology, Pathology and Related Sciences.$80,398Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions.$80,124Marketing.$79,547Political Science and Government.$75,766Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$73,481Communication and Media Studies.$71,532Health/Medical Preparatory Programs.$71,240Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$69,228Biology, General.$64,526Criminal Justice and Corrections.$63,215Economics.$62,519
Showing top 24 of 37 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
37 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$48,689Educational Administration and Supervision.$59,102Special Education and Teaching.$50,844Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$58,580Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$59,112
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$93,642Marketing.$79,547Finance and Financial Management Services.$86,861Accounting and Related Services.$88,053Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$73,481International Business.$90,570Business/Managerial Economics.$97,394Management Information Systems and Services.$89,258Business Administration, Management and Operations.$96,146
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of Dayton
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$812,968
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 11
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $26,840
- HS-only baseline · OH
- $36,400
- Years to complete
- 6
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of Dayton graduates earn $X” — not “University of Dayton makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Dayton caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.