-11%
Public associate's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Carl Albert State College are 11% below the public associate's-predominant peer median ($34.1k vs $38.2k).
Oklahoma · Public · Predominantly associate's
Carl Albert State College
Poteau, Oklahoma. 1,215 undergraduate students. 37 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Carl Albert State College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-86%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Carl Albert State College fell 86% between 2021 and 2024 (73.9% → 10.2%).
-50%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 50% at Carl Albert State College vs the 2003–2007 baseline (1.2k vs 2.4k).
+39%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Carl Albert State College rose 39% between 2017 and 2020 ($6.8k → $9.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oklahoma
Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$34,117+12% · 6→10y
Oklahoma median $38,465$30,375
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry41.2%+1% · '97→'09
Oklahoma median 52.9%$6,496+257% · '97→'20
At program completion1,215+48% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS57.5%-86% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$4,230+208% · '01→'24
out-of-state $8,707SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.5%Median federal debt $6,496 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $34,117 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-86%
Carl Albert State College · retention fell
74.0% → 10.2%
+48%
Carl Albert State College · undergrad enrollment rose
1,616 → 2,390
+208%
Carl Albert State College · in-state tuition rose
$1,421 → $4,380
+151%
Carl Albert State College · out-of-state tuition rose
$3,628 → $9,098
+257%
Carl Albert State College · median debt rose
$2,625 → $9,362
-100%
Carl Albert State College · cohort default rate fell
28.7% → 0.0%
+334%
Carl Albert State College · pell share rose
12.5% → 54.3%
+28%
Carl Albert State College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$25,700 → $32,780
+34%
Carl Albert State College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$22,600 → $30,375
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$71,378Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services.$49,556Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$41,478Health Services/Allied Health/Health Sciences, General.$36,410Business Administration, Management and Operations.$34,762Human Development, Family Studies, and Related Services.$26,417
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
6 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Carl Albert State College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$69,347
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 20
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $7,624
- HS-only baseline · OK
- $33,800
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oklahoma
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Carl Albert State College graduates earn $X” — not “Carl Albert State College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Carl Albert State College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.