-42%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 42% at East Central University vs the 2003–2007 baseline (2.2k vs 3.7k).
Oklahoma · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
East Central University
Ada, Oklahoma. 2,157 undergraduate students. 65 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at East Central University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at East Central University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.4% → 0.0%).
+12%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at East Central University rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 ($7.2k → $8.0k).
+15%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at East Central University rose 15% between 2021 and 2024 (19.7% → 22.6%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oklahoma
Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$44,962+11% · 6→10y
Oklahoma median $38,465$40,677
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry32.7%+8% · '97→'24
Oklahoma median 52.9%$11,250+325% · '97→'20
At program completion2,157+2% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS56.8%-5% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time65.5%-39% · '01→'24
latest cohort$8,032+337% · '00→'24
out-of-state $17,542SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.3%Median federal debt $11,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $44,962 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+112%
East Central University · completion · 100% rose
10.6% → 22.6%
+337%
East Central University · in-state tuition rose
$1,840 → $8,032
+288%
East Central University · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,600 → $17,842
+325%
East Central University · median debt rose
$4,154 → $17,671
-100%
East Central University · cohort default rate fell
15.6% → 0.0%
+22%
East Central University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$36,900 → $44,962
+24%
East Central University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$34,000 → $42,292
+34%
East Central University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$30,400 → $40,677
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$74,924Educational Administration and Supervision.$57,496Biology, General.$56,358Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$56,061Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$55,485Human Resources Management and Services.$54,799Mathematics.$53,460Social Work.$49,640Business Administration, Management and Operations.$49,535Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$48,995Criminal Justice and Corrections.$46,515Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$43,004Human Services, General.$42,443Human Resources Management and Services.$39,211English Language and Literature, General.$38,566Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$36,143
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
16 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Educational Administration and Supervision.$57,496Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$43,004Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$55,485Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$56,061Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$48,995
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at East Central University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$721,540
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $10,162
- HS-only baseline · OK
- $33,800
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oklahoma
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“East Central University graduates earn $X” — not “East Central University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending East Central University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.