-12%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa fell 12% between 2006 and 2009 (74.0% → 64.9%).
Oklahoma · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa
Tulsa, Oklahoma. 934 undergraduate students. 7 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+106%
For-profit certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa are 106% above the for-profit certificate-predominant peer median ($41.1k vs $19.9k).
-6pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 5 pp at Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa vs the 2003–2007 baseline (67.1% vs 72.6%).
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.2% → 0.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oklahoma
Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$41,067+5% · 6→10y
Oklahoma median $38,465$39,055
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry67.1%+20% · '97→'09
Oklahoma median 52.9%$6,886+43% · '97→'20
At program completion934+206% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS63.5%+18% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.2%Median federal debt $6,886 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $41,067 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+18%
Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa · retention rose
67.0% → 79.1%
+206%
Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa · undergrad enrollment rose
279 → 855
+43%
Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa · median debt rose
$6,625 → $9,500
-100%
Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa · cohort default rate fell
27.2% → 0.0%
+32%
Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa · pell share rose
48.8% → 64.4%
+39%
Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa · earnings_median_6yr rose
$28,000 → $39,055
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
5 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
CONSTRUCTION TRADES · CIP 46
PRECISION PRODUCTION · CIP 48
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$216,168
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 9
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $33,579
- HS-only baseline · OK
- $33,800
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 48
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oklahoma
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa graduates earn $X” — not “Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Tulsa Welding School-Tulsa caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.