Pennsylvania · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's

Lycoming College

Williamsport, Pennsylvania. 1,049 undergraduate students. 40 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Lycoming College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+19%

Out-of-state tuition

Out-of-state tuition at Lycoming College rose 19% between 2006 and 2009 ($25.1k → $29.9k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Lycoming College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.8% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+13%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Lycoming College rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($44.2k → $50.0k).

COMPLETION DROP · TRENDING WORSE-7pp

150%-time completion

150%-time completion fell 7 pp at Lycoming College vs the 2003–2007 baseline (59.6% vs 66.6%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Pennsylvania

Each tile compares this institution to the Pennsylvania median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$56,210+29% · 6→10y
Pennsylvania median $49,859
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$43,713
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
59.6%+28% · '97→'09
Pennsylvania median 66.1%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$23,500+69% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
1,049-30% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
82.4%-6% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
67.9%-7% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$47,675+162% · '01→'24
out-of-state $47,675
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

5.6%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $23,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $56,210 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 19962024996
1,48499619962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997200975.8%
76%59%19972009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$27,000
$27,500$14,43719972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 19972009+28%

Lycoming College · completion · 150% rose

59.4% → 75.8%

COMPLETION · 100% · 19972024+27%

Lycoming College · completion · 100% rose

40.9% → 51.9%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024-30%

Lycoming College · undergrad enrollment fell

1,422 → 996

IN-STATE TUITION · 20012024+162%

Lycoming College · in-state tuition rose

$19,104 → $50,029

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20012009+56%

Lycoming College · out-of-state tuition rose

$19,104 → $29,894

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+69%

Lycoming College · median debt rose

$16,000 → $27,000

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Lycoming College · cohort default rate fell

3.3% → 0.0%

PELL SHARE · 20082024+57%

Lycoming College · pell share rose

24.3% → 38.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+23%

Lycoming College · earnings_median_10yr rose

$45,600 → $56,210

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+22%

Lycoming College · earnings_median_8yr rose

$41,700 → $50,955

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

9 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23

BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26

MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45

VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

HISTORY · CIP 54

COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Lycoming College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$88,880
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 21
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 21year 0year 39
Cost per year
$16,467
HS-only baseline · PA
$38,100
Years to complete
4
CIP family
42

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Lycoming College graduates earn $X” — not “Lycoming College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Lycoming College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →