-16%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo fell 16% between 2021 and 2024 (92.5% → 77.3%).
Puerto Rico · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo
Arecibo, Puerto Rico. 64 undergraduate students. 2 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+25%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo rose 25% between 2006 and 2009 (52 → 65).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Puerto Rico
Each tile compares this institution to the Puerto Rico median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$15,266-6% · 6→10y
Puerto Rico median $23,370$16,310
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry86.3%+9% · '99→'09
Puerto Rico median 52.5%—
At program completion64-68% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS76.9%+29% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time78.3%+39% · '02→'24
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
+29%
Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo · retention rose
60.0% → 77.3%
-68%
Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo · undergrad enrollment fell
201 → 65
+25%
Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo · earnings_median_8yr rose
$15,000 → $18,773
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$226,761
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $8,261
- HS-only baseline · PR
- $22,400
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 12
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Puerto Rico
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo graduates earn $X” — not “Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Modern Hairstyling Institute-Arecibo caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.