-46%
Private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Johnson & Wales University-Providence are 46% below the private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer median ($43.4k vs $80.0k).
Rhode Island · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Johnson & Wales University-Providence
Providence, Rhode Island. 3,913 undergraduate students. 82 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Johnson & Wales University-Providence
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-26%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 26% at Johnson & Wales University-Providence vs the 2018–2022 baseline (3.9k vs 5.3k).
-24%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Johnson & Wales University-Providence fell 24% between 2021 and 2024 (51.4% → 39.3%).
+17%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Johnson & Wales University-Providence rose 17% between 2021 and 2024 ($36.3k → $42.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Rhode Island
Each tile compares this institution to the Rhode Island median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$43,418+21% · 6→10y
Rhode Island median $68,941$35,802
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry54.9%-13% · '97→'24
Rhode Island median 70.6%$16,334+324% · '97→'20
At program completion3,913-47% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS76.3%+15% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time83.7%+8% · '01→'24
latest cohort$40,408+151% · '00→'24
out-of-state $40,408SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.0%Median federal debt $16,334 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $43,418 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-38%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · completion · 100% fell
63.5% → 39.3%
+15%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · retention rose
71.0% → 82.0%
-47%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · undergrad enrollment fell
7,274 → 3,868
+151%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · in-state tuition rose
$16,890 → $42,419
+151%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · out-of-state tuition rose
$16,890 → $42,419
+324%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · median debt rose
$6,125 → $26,000
-100%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · cohort default rate fell
13.5% → 0.0%
+369%
Johnson & Wales University-Providence · pell share rose
6.4% → 30.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Educational Administration and Supervision.$112,780Accounting and Related Services.$75,585Business Administration, Management and Operations.$71,892Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication.$71,201Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications.$67,825Engineering, Other.$59,552Criminal Justice and Corrections.$57,459Finance and Financial Management Services.$55,940Marketing.$55,595International Business.$55,099Business Administration, Management and Operations.$52,954Parks, Recreation and Leisure Facilities Management.$50,488Specialized Sales, Merchandising and Marketing Operations.$48,340Computer Software and Media Applications.$48,127Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$47,814Hospitality Administration/Management.$46,169Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$45,190Foods, Nutrition, and Related Services.$41,943Culinary Arts and Related Services.$39,083Culinary Arts and Related Services.$36,778Agricultural and Domestic Animal Services.$33,016
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
21 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Hospitality Administration/Management.$46,169Business Administration, Management and Operations.$52,954Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$45,190Specialized Sales, Merchandising and Marketing Operations.$48,340Accounting and Related Services.$75,585Marketing.$55,595Business Administration, Management and Operations.$71,892Finance and Financial Management Services.$55,940International Business.$55,099
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Johnson & Wales University-Providence
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$63,006
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $31,538
- HS-only baseline · RI
- $38,900
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 12
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Rhode Island
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Johnson & Wales University-Providence graduates earn $X” — not “Johnson & Wales University-Providence makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Johnson & Wales University-Providence caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.