Public certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Henry/Carroll are 21% below the public certificate-predominant peer median ($29.1k vs $36.8k).
Paris, Tennessee. 203 undergraduate students. 15 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
10-year earnings at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Henry/Carroll are 21% below the public certificate-predominant peer median ($29.1k vs $36.8k).
150%-time completion at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Henry/Carroll rose 15% between 2006 and 2009 (73.8% → 84.9%).
Median federal debt at exit at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Henry/Carroll rose 31% between 1999 and 2002 ($1.8k → $2.4k).
150%-time completion fell 5 pp at Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Henry/Carroll vs the 2003–2007 baseline (67.1% vs 72.5%).
Each tile compares this institution to the Tennessee median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
57.8% → 84.9%
255 → 180
$1,750 → $2,356
39.4% → 61.2%
$22,800 → $29,074
$19,600 → $26,821
$18,300 → $28,487
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Henry/Carroll caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.