Texas · Public · Predominantly associate's

Central Texas College

Killeen, Texas. 5,985 undergraduate students. 76 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Central Texas College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+32%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Central Texas College rose 32% between 2021 and 2024 ($2.9k → $3.8k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+16%

150%-time completion

150%-time completion at Central Texas College rose 16% between 2006 and 2009 (8.5% → 9.9%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+15%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment at Central Texas College rose 15% between 2021 and 2024 (5.4k → 6.2k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+14%

First-year retention

First-year retention at Central Texas College rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 (52.5% → 60.0%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Texas

Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$40,995+4% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$39,534
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
14.6%-37% · '97→'09
Texas median 51.8%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$5,250+209% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
5,985-29% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
53.1%+9% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$3,150+249% · '00→'24
out-of-state $7,500
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

1.7%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $5,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $40,995 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 199620246,247
19,9724,81819962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 199720099.9%
68%8%19972009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$6,750
$7,250$1,75019972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 19972009-37%

Central Texas College · completion · 150% fell

15.7% → 9.9%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024-29%

Central Texas College · undergrad enrollment fell

8,746 → 6,247

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+249%

Central Texas College · in-state tuition rose

$1,073 → $3,750

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20002024+226%

Central Texas College · out-of-state tuition rose

$2,300 → $7,500

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+209%

Central Texas College · median debt rose

$2,187 → $6,750

PELL SHARE · 20082024+120%

Central Texas College · pell share rose

16.8% → 37.1%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+20%

Central Texas College · earnings_median_8yr rose

$33,400 → $40,141

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+34%

Central Texas College · earnings_median_6yr rose

$29,600 → $39,534

SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS

Ranked by 5-year earnings

Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

2 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24

HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Central Texas College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$345,142
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 5year 0year 39
Cost per year
$8,249
HS-only baseline · TX
$37,300
Years to complete
2
CIP family
24

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Central Texas College graduates earn $X” — not “Central Texas College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Central Texas College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →