-34%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Lamar State College-Port Arthur fell 34% between 2021 and 2024 (2.3k → 1.5k).
Texas · Public · Predominantly associate's
Lamar State College-Port Arthur
Port Arthur, Texas. 1,455 undergraduate students. 45 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Lamar State College-Port Arthur
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-34%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 34% at Lamar State College-Port Arthur vs the 2018–2022 baseline (1.5k vs 2.2k).
-32%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Lamar State College-Port Arthur fell 32% between 2006 and 2009 (18.4% → 12.5%).
+26%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Lamar State College-Port Arthur rose 26% between 2017 and 2020 ($10.5k → $13.2k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$37,120+25% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$29,746
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry30.2%-41% · '97→'09
Texas median 51.8%$7,125+198% · '08→'20
At program completion1,455-39% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS63.0%+46% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$1,770-19% · '00→'24
out-of-state $8,070SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.6%Median federal debt $7,125 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $37,120 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-41%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · completion · 150% fell
21.1% → 12.5%
+46%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · retention rose
46.0% → 67.0%
-39%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · undergrad enrollment fell
2,476 → 1,508
+198%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · median debt rose
$4,441 → $13,250
+45%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · pell share rose
14.2% → 20.5%
+25%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · earnings_median_10yr rose
$29,600 → $37,120
+49%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · earnings_median_8yr rose
$23,400 → $34,911
+38%
Lamar State College-Port Arthur · earnings_median_6yr rose
$21,600 → $29,746
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
4 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
SCIENCE TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 41
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Lamar State College-Port Arthur
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$200,598
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 8
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $5,828
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Lamar State College-Port Arthur graduates earn $X” — not “Lamar State College-Port Arthur makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Lamar State College-Port Arthur caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.