+81%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at School of Automotive Machinists & Technology rose 81% between 2006 and 2009 ($5.2k → $9.5k).
Texas · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology
Houston, Texas. 102 undergraduate students. 3 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at School of Automotive Machinists & Technology
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+129%
For-profit certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at School of Automotive Machinists & Technology are 129% above the for-profit certificate-predominant peer median ($57.5k vs $25.2k).
-21%
First-year retention
First-year retention at School of Automotive Machinists & Technology fell 21% between 2021 and 2024 (100.0% → 78.6%).
-20%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at School of Automotive Machinists & Technology fell 20% between 2021 and 2024 (110 → 88).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$57,529+21% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$47,526
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry93.1%+26% · '97→'09
Texas median 51.8%$9,500+64% · '97→'09
At program completion102+193% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS77.8%-20% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time58.6%-19% · '07→'24
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.2%Median federal debt $9,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $57,529 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+26%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · completion · 150% rose
79.6% → 100.0%
-20%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · retention fell
98.0% → 78.6%
+29%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · undergrad enrollment rose
30 → 88
+64%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · median debt rose
$5,787 → $9,500
+132%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · pell share rose
17.9% → 41.5%
+32%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · earnings_median_10yr rose
$43,700 → $57,529
+24%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · earnings_median_8yr rose
$40,100 → $49,678
+51%
School of Automotive Machinists & Technology · earnings_median_6yr rose
$31,500 → $47,526
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
3 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
PRECISION PRODUCTION · CIP 48
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at School of Automotive Machinists & Technology
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$266,954
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 7
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $26,239
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 47
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“School of Automotive Machinists & Technology graduates earn $X” — not “School of Automotive Machinists & Technology makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending School of Automotive Machinists & Technology caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.