+25%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Vermont State University rose 25% between 2017 and 2020 ($12.0k → $15.0k).
Vermont · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Vermont State University
Randolph, Vermont. 3,567 undergraduate students. 142 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Vermont State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+209%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Vermont State University rose 209% between 2021 and 2024 (1.2k → 3.6k).
-13%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Vermont State University fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (54.0% → 47.2%).
-7pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 7 pp at Vermont State University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (48.9% vs 55.8%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Vermont
Each tile compares this institution to the Vermont median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$50,331+22% · 6→10y
Vermont median $50,331$41,340
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry48.9%+1% · '97→'24
Vermont median 66.7%$11,000+145% · '97→'20
At program completion3,567+371% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS66.8%+9% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time83.2%+85% · '01→'24
latest cohort$11,400+105% · '00→'24
out-of-state $21,408SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.9%Median federal debt $11,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $50,331 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+81%
Vermont State University · completion · 100% rose
18.0% → 32.6%
+371%
Vermont State University · undergrad enrollment rose
762 → 3,590
+105%
Vermont State University · in-state tuition rose
$5,830 → $11,952
+101%
Vermont State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$11,068 → $22,296
+145%
Vermont State University · median debt rose
$6,125 → $15,000
-100%
Vermont State University · cohort default rate fell
4.0% → 0.0%
+46%
Vermont State University · pell share rose
23.4% → 34.1%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$84,109Electromechanical Instrumentation and Maintenance Technologies/Technicians.$77,605Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$75,670Mechanical Engineering Related Technologies/Technicians.$69,638Computer and Information Sciences, General.$64,740Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$64,138Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$64,077Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$63,366Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$55,563Accounting and Related Services.$55,046Audiovisual Communications Technologies/Technicians.$54,551Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$53,215Criminal Justice and Corrections.$52,313Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology.$52,305Business Administration, Management and Operations.$51,876Business/Commerce, General.$51,474Health/Medical Preparatory Programs.$51,071Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$50,326Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$48,262Marketing.$48,126Psychology, General.$46,012Social Work.$45,758Business Administration, Management and Operations.$45,502Biology, General.$43,288
Showing top 24 of 32 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
32 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 10
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$75,670Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$64,138Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$84,109Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$63,366Health/Medical Preparatory Programs.$51,071
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Vermont State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$779,161
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 3
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $19,809
- HS-only baseline · VT
- $37,800
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Vermont
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Vermont State University graduates earn $X” — not “Vermont State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Vermont State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.