Washington · Private nonprofit · Predominantly certificates

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center

Spokane, Washington. 49 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Northwest HVAC/R Training Center

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+15%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Northwest HVAC/R Training Center rose 15% between 2002 and 2004 ($3.8k → $4.4k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+44%

150%-time completion

150%-time completion at Northwest HVAC/R Training Center rose 44% between 2006 and 2009 (63.2% → 90.9%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+15%

Out-of-state tuition

Out-of-state tuition at Northwest HVAC/R Training Center rose 15% between 2002 and 2004 ($3.8k → $4.4k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+43%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment at Northwest HVAC/R Training Center rose 43% between 2021 and 2024 (35 → 50).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Washington

Each tile compares this institution to the Washington median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$60,551+38% · 6→10y
Washington median $47,350
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$43,961
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
82.8%-5% · '00→'09
Washington median 46.8%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$9,500+43% · '99→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
49
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
77.8%+44% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
82.5%-7% · '18→'23
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
+9% · '00→'04
annual
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

2.1%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $9,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $60,551 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 1998202450
65019982024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 2000200990.9%
100%48%20002009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19992020$9,500
$9,500$3,31319992020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
RETENTION · 20042024+44%

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center · retention rose

63.0% → 90.9%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19982024+25%

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center · undergrad enrollment rose

0 → 50

MEDIAN DEBT · 19992020+43%

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center · median debt rose

$6,625 → $9,500

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center · cohort default rate fell

45.8% → 0.0%

PELL SHARE · 20082024-25%

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center · pell share fell

60.0% → 44.9%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20142020+68%

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center · earnings_median_10yr rose

$36,100 → $60,551

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Northwest HVAC/R Training Center

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

EARNINGS SUPPRESSED

Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance Technology/Technician (HAC, HACR, HVAC, HVACR) · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Northwest HVAC/R Training Center(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Northwest HVAC/R Training Center graduates earn $X” — not “Northwest HVAC/R Training Center makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Northwest HVAC/R Training Center caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →