-33%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Seattle Pacific University fell 33% between 2021 and 2024 (2.6k → 1.8k).
Washington · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Seattle Pacific University
Seattle, Washington. 2,073 undergraduate students. 91 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Seattle Pacific University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-22%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 22% at Seattle Pacific University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (2.1k vs 2.7k).
+13%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Seattle Pacific University rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($35.6k → $40.4k).
+13%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Seattle Pacific University rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($35.6k → $40.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Washington
Each tile compares this institution to the Washington median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$64,506+25% · 6→10y
Washington median $47,350$51,496
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry62.2%+21% · '97→'24
Washington median 46.8%$16,946+145% · '97→'20
At program completion2,073-32% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS74.6%-15% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time91.1%+0% · '01→'24
latest cohort$38,814+163% · '00→'24
out-of-state $38,814SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.5%Median federal debt $16,946 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $64,506 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+21%
Seattle Pacific University · completion · 150% rose
51.1% → 62.0%
+134%
Seattle Pacific University · completion · 100% rose
25.7% → 60.0%
-15%
Seattle Pacific University · retention fell
85.0% → 72.4%
-32%
Seattle Pacific University · undergrad enrollment fell
2,576 → 1,762
+163%
Seattle Pacific University · in-state tuition rose
$15,381 → $40,407
+163%
Seattle Pacific University · out-of-state tuition rose
$15,381 → $40,407
+145%
Seattle Pacific University · median debt rose
$9,815 → $24,000
-100%
Seattle Pacific University · cohort default rate fell
2.4% → 0.0%
+112%
Seattle Pacific University · pell share rose
16.7% → 35.3%
+37%
Seattle Pacific University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$47,000 → $64,506
+44%
Seattle Pacific University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$41,500 → $59,612
+34%
Seattle Pacific University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$38,400 → $51,496
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$129,978Educational Administration and Supervision.$99,980Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$96,041Business/Commerce, General.$92,084Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$88,473Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$87,032Accounting and Related Services.$86,909Design and Applied Arts.$79,971Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$79,317Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$79,290Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$77,383Foods, Nutrition, and Related Services.$61,463Communication and Media Studies.$56,672Psychology, General.$55,138Political Science and Government.$53,066English Language and Literature, General.$40,886
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
16 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Seattle Pacific University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$380,055
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 13
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $23,893
- HS-only baseline · WA
- $41,200
- Years to complete
- 6
- CIP family
- 13
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Washington
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Seattle Pacific University graduates earn $X” — not “Seattle Pacific University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Seattle Pacific University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.