-26%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline fell 26% between 2006 and 2009 (100.0% → 73.8%).
Washington · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline
Shoreline, Washington. 127 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+19%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline rose 19% between 2021 and 2024 (110 → 131).
-5pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 5 pp at Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline vs the 2003–2007 baseline (85.7% vs 91.1%).
-14%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline fell 14% between 2017 and 2020 ($10.6k → $9.1k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Washington
Each tile compares this institution to the Washington median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$29,827+4% · 6→10y
Washington median $47,350$28,720
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry85.7%-24% · '99→'09
Washington median 46.8%$7,989+91% · '97→'20
At program completion127+138% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS76.5%-11% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—±0% · '03→'06
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.6%Median federal debt $7,989 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $29,827 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-24%
Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline · completion · 150% fell
96.7% → 73.8%
-11%
Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline · retention fell
96.0% → 85.0%
+38%
Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline · undergrad enrollment rose
55 → 131
+91%
Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline · median debt rose
$4,762 → $9,090
-100%
Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline · cohort default rate fell
21.8% → 0.0%
+48%
Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline · pell share rose
22.7% → 33.6%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$126,633
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $18,668
- HS-only baseline · WA
- $41,200
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 12
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Washington
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline graduates earn $X” — not “Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Toni & Guy Hairdressing Academy-Shoreline caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.