-44%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Appalachian Bible College fell 44% between 2021 and 2024 (70.8% → 40.0%).
West Virginia · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Appalachian Bible College
Mount Hope, West Virginia. 168 undergraduate students. 6 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Appalachian Bible College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Appalachian Bible College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.9% → 0.0%).
+19%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Appalachian Bible College rose 19% between 2021 and 2024 ($15.8k → $18.8k).
+19%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Appalachian Bible College rose 19% between 2021 and 2024 ($15.8k → $18.8k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. West Virginia
Each tile compares this institution to the West Virginia median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$37,467+29% · 6→10y
West Virginia median $37,714$29,147
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry75.6%+42% · '97→'24
West Virginia median 61.2%$6,767+112% · '97→'20
At program completion168-21% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS85.0%-14% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time98.6%+202% · '01→'24
latest cohort$18,230+206% · '00→'24
out-of-state $18,230SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.4%Median federal debt $6,767 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $37,467 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+42%
Appalachian Bible College · completion · 150% rose
50.0% → 71.0%
+30%
Appalachian Bible College · completion · 100% rose
30.8% → 40.0%
-14%
Appalachian Bible College · retention fell
76.0% → 65.7%
-21%
Appalachian Bible College · undergrad enrollment fell
245 → 193
+206%
Appalachian Bible College · in-state tuition rose
$6,132 → $18,760
+206%
Appalachian Bible College · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,132 → $18,760
+112%
Appalachian Bible College · median debt rose
$5,187 → $11,000
-100%
Appalachian Bible College · cohort default rate fell
6.3% → 0.0%
-35%
Appalachian Bible College · pell share fell
63.9% → 41.9%
+23%
Appalachian Bible College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$30,500 → $37,467
+35%
Appalachian Bible College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$24,300 → $32,792
+37%
Appalachian Bible College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$21,300 → $29,147
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Appalachian Bible College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$140,580
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $19,260
- HS-only baseline · WV
- $32,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 39
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in West Virginia
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Appalachian Bible College graduates earn $X” — not “Appalachian Bible College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Appalachian Bible College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.