-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (4.1% → 0.0%).
Illinois · Private nonprofit · Predominantly graduate
Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary
Evanston, Illinois. 10 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
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Illinois median $40,810—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry—
Illinois median 53.3%—
At program completion—
latest IPEDS—
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
THEOLOGY & RELIGIOUS VOCATIONS · CIP 39
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Theological and Ministerial Studies · Master's Degree at Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary graduates earn $X” — not “Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Garrett-Evangelical Theological Seminary caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.